Mattel Inc Stock Performance
| MAT Stock | USD 14.95 -0.13 -0.86% |
The firm shows a beta of 0.74, which conveys generally lower market sensitivity than the broad market. As returns on the market increase, Mattel's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding Mattel is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Mattel Inc has a negative expected return of -0.42%.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
Weak | Strong |
For the recent 90-day horizon, Mattel Inc failed to convert risk into positive risk-adjusted performance. The result matters because weak risk-adjusted return can persist even when isolated price moves briefly look constructive. In spite of unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the stock's basic indicators remain comparatively stable, which may send shares a bit higher in April 2026. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm's private investors. Learn More
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return -0.54 | Five Day Return -0.27 | Year To Date Return -25.80 | Ten Year Return -54.08 | All Time Return 601.42 |
Last Split Factor 5:4 | Dividend Date 2017-09-15 | Ex Dividend Date 2017-08-21 | Last Split Date 1996-03-04 |
1 | 3 Reasons MAT is Risky and 1 Stock to Buy Instead | 03/03/2026 |
2 | Mattel Rating Lowered to Strong Sell at Zacks Research | 03/13/2026 |
3 | Dirt Cheap Stocks to Buy With 1,000 Right Now | 03/16/2026 |
4 | Ticket sales open for Barbie exhibition coming to Scotland for first time | 03/17/2026 |
5 | WA Police brace for fuel theft boom as Cook takes ACCC to task | 03/18/2026 |
6 | Labubu movie in the works as viral toys attempt film crossover | 03/19/2026 |
7 | How Project Hail Mary Broke Amazons Losing Streak at the Box Office | 03/23/2026 |
8 | A Look At Mattel Valuation After The New Barbie X CCM Hockey Collaboration | 03/24/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 1.4 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -154.9 M |
Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you had invested $ 2,026 in Mattel Inc on December 26, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost $ 531.00 from holding Mattel Inc or given up 26.21% of portfolio value over 90 days. Mattel Inc is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 3.6836% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 33% of stocks are less volatile than Mattel, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Mattel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a well-known pattern in finance. Despite this pattern, historical data suggests that some stocks remain persistently mispriced until markets correct.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds moving above the current price in 90 days |
| 14.95 | 90 days | 14.95 | under 95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mattel moving above the current price in 90 days from now are under 95 . Over this horizon, the return distribution for this stock has leaned toward above-current outcomes historically. (The density curve centers on the price range the market has recently treated as most probable for Mattel Stock over the next 90 days).
Mattel Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mattel
Numerous approaches exist for forecasting the stock market and estimating future values of Mattel Inc. Although accurate forecasting remains elusive, the process of modeling scenarios is a valuable part of decision-making.Experienced market participants anticipate that Mattel's price will even out over time. Periods when Mattel's deviates significantly from its historical mean may warrant further fundamental analysis.
Primary Risk Indicators
The last 10-20 years have been a volatile period for the stock market, and Mattel is no exception. Mattel has experienced periods of rapid price declines followed by equally strong recoveries.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.3625 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.74 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0978 |
Investor Alerts and Insights
Automated alerts tied to Mattel help investors stay ahead of material changes in stock conditions. Mattel Inc notifications flag important changes in technical indicators, fundamentals, and market conditions.| Mattel Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Mattel Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Disposition of 1000 shares by Jason Cardew of Lear at 135.18 subject to Rule 16 b-3 |
Price Density Drivers
Price dynamics for Mattel Stock are shaped by tension between bullish and bearish positioning among market participants. Key indicators for Mattel capture the primary forces influencing short-term price behavior.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 318.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.2 B |
Mattel Fundamentals Growth
Mattel Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of Mattel's future prospects and financial health. Revenue trajectory, earnings quality, profit margins, and leverage levels shape Mattel Stock market performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.18 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0556 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.07 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.08 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 5.92 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 302.2 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 28.47 X | |||
| Price To Book | 2.01 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 0.86 X | |||
| Revenue | 5.35 B | |||
| Gross Profit | 2.61 B | |||
| EBITDA | 774.1 M | |||
| Net Income | 397.6 M | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 349 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 0.98 X | |||
| Total Debt | 2.87 B | |||
| Debt To Equity | 1.45 % | |||
| Current Ratio | 1.96 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 7.41 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 593.3 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 1.24 X | |||
| Market Capitalization | 4.62 B | |||
| Total Asset | 6.64 B | |||
| Retained Earnings | 4 B | |||
| Working Capital | 1.67 B | |||
| Current Asset | 2.39 B | |||
| Current Liabilities | 1.65 B | |||
Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology
Return quality for Mattel evaluates how consistent and repeatable performance has been across periods. Consistent positive returns across rolling windows support confidence in structural performance patterns. Mattel shows ROE of 17.68%, ROA of 5.56%.
Unless otherwise specified, data for Mattel Inc is compiled from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Analyst inputs may be included when coverage is available. Updates may occur throughout the day. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.